Do you feel confident that the Singapore Summit will lead to peace and the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons?
I've said it elsewhere and I'll say it here too. I really do think that the difference between this time and previous attempts is China. Kim makes his first foreign visit to meet with President Xi in March and they've continued to hold secret meetings in the weeks leading up to this summit. As far as I'm concerned, the relationship between North Korea and China has changed.
Maybe their missile capabilities were becoming too much of a risk, maybe Xi is confident enough in his consolidation of power domestically and abroad. Heck, maybe they were convinced by Trump's grandstanding. It seems as if North Korea is either too much of a liability or too risky an ally to keep the status quo. Regardless, Trump has signaled his willingness to suspend military exercises and that's what China's been demanding for decades. Even with nukes, North Korea's position of security depends on China's support. I have to imagine that Kim is being heavily pressured to make concessions.
I'm skeptical, but whatever the outcome is, if Kim can support it, so can I.
Have you considered it possible that you're a lunatic?
I've never really considered that, no.
Sleep on it.
Adam you finally said something intelligent. 👍
Most trump voters already declared victory, no matter what happens they made up their mind.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
Skeptical, but hopeful.
I can’t envision any scenario in which this works out well. Even in the astoundingly unlikely event that Kim agreed to the compete, verifiable, and irreversible denuclearization of his country, any concessions the US makes to North Korea in exchange for this will be an incentive for proliferation. If we do what Trump and Pompeo want and make North Korea — one of the poorest countries in the world — as rich as South Korea, which is one of the world’s leading economies, then we will show the world that nuclear weapons are the path to development. In that event, we shouldn’t be surprised to see Iran decide to build a nuclear arsenal to trade for economic concessions.
However, unfortunately, the most likely result is even worse. Trump will make a bad deal to save face and North Korea will fail to dismantle its nuclear arsenal.