2016 Election Scenario: The Libertarian Party nominates Rand Paul, and the Green Party nominates Al Gore. Who do you think these two would pull the most votes away from?
Personally, I think it would be quite close. My guess is Rand Paul would receive about 6-7% of the vote (40% - 50% of that from Trump, 10-15% from Clinton, the rest simply refusing both major candidates) and Al Gore would receive about 3-4% of the vote (25% - 40% of that coming from Clinton, 5-10% from Trump, the rest refusing both major candidates). In the end, I feel as though Trump would lose more votes in this alternate scenario than Clinton would.