Do you trust Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight to be accurate and unbiased?
It's not perfectly accurate. Silver tries to be, though. He gave Trump a fair shot- explaining why, and he actually was right.
I'm not familiar with it.
The question of bias is debatable, but it clearly isn't accurate.
More than I trust you to be accurate an unbiased. 😜
Idc, in the least.
Its accuracy has not been perfect, but I feel strongly that it is unbiased. Silver's is trying to get a true measurement of public opinion, not make public opinion. His credibility depends on his accuracy. He is constantly factoring in different statistical data.
It's numbers , something that republicans can't or won't accept as factual
I don't believe they're accurate, but I still like looking at all the data and statistics.
I remember watching it election night and it said Hillary has a 99% chance to win until about midnight and then it swung all the way to Trump. Lol.
Not on 538. They had Trump higher than most, about 30% chance if I remember.
And yet that 30% figure was still woefully inaccurate. They are just as pathetic and biased as any of the MSM polling organizations. I read their articles when I need a good laugh.
30% chances happening isn't "woefully inaccurate." That's somewhere around the odds of flipping two coins and both being heads. Besides, when were all election predictors always right? Answer those for me.
A coin flip would be a 50% chance, not 30%.
If you're a pollster, your job is to measure the electorate in an unbiased way and try to make a correct prediction based off of that. FiveThirtyEight failed miserably at this in 2016. There is no excuse for it. Bad polling is bad polling.
.50 times .50 is .25.
No. Remember the time they said that Hillary had a 99% chance of winning the Michigan democratic primary? 😂😂😂
😂😂 Yes, I remember that! They also once forecasted that Hillary had a better chance of winning Arizona than Donald Trump....and they're still claiming that Arizona, Georgia, and Texas are turning into swing states! They keep proving themselves to be nothing but propaganda peddlers. 😂😂
I once saw Tom Brady throw four interceptions in one game! He must be a crap quarterback!
I'm not a fan of sports, so I wouldn't know.
Not at all. They had a left-leaning, anti-Trump bias during the 2016 campaign and their predictions on the election outcome were woefully inaccurate. They haven't changed one bit since the election.
Because that's a highly logical argument, backed by the evidence you so kindly gave us.