New predicted vote percentages: Clinton 50.1%; Trump 33.9%; Johnson 9.6%; Stein 6.1%; Castle 0.2%; McMullin 0.1%; Others <0.1% (Clinton +16.2%)
Stein is way to high
I think it's going to be much closer between Clinton and Trump, no matter who wins. Prior to the first debate I'd say it's pretty difficult to gauge the numbers.
I agree. If Clinton is leading by double digits on Election Day I'll eat my hat
Are you just making up all the numbers for all of the polls
No. I base most numbers off fivethirtyeight, historical polling, and current candidate popularity and ballot access.