Show of HandsShow of Hands

Show Of Hands April 11th, 2016 11:44am

Who do you predict will win the April 19th New York Republican primary?

36 Liked

Comments: Add Comment

RoDe Latinus wordsus
04/12/16 2:26 pm

Doesn't really matter who wins statewide, it's all about the districts. And yeah, you can win a majority of the districts and lose the popular vote if those districts are sparsely populated by republicans, like the regions Cruz is focusing on. I'd expect Trump to win statewide, and likely win the majority of the delegates, but it's also entirely possible IMO that he wins statewide but walks away with fewer delegates as a result of the races in the congressional districts.

bethanyq Ess Eff
04/11/16 5:04 pm

Either would suck, and I loathe Trump, but I won't pretend I'm not getting a solid chuckle out of Ted's dismissive sneering at "New York values" coming back to bite him in the ass.

Reply
gatsbyxxv
04/11/16 1:18 pm

I hope not Trump but seriously doubt it!

Reply
roybiker12
04/11/16 1:12 pm

Trump is a national embarrassment...but he'll take New York.

Reply
evan2048 Michigan
04/11/16 12:23 pm

Cruz? He's getting third and I don't see him breaking 20%. Trump has a 100% chance of winning this

Reply
ShawPPM1214 Washington
04/11/16 3:31 pm

I think he could still get some delegates though. All he need to do keep trump under 50% in a congressional district

evan2048 Michigan
04/11/16 4:15 pm

I don't see Cruz winning a plurality in any district, I'm not even sure Kasich can. In all likelihood Trump breaks 50% and all the delegates

KangarooJack Texas
04/11/16 10:34 am

Kasich has more of a chance than Cruz, and should be added.

Reply
paganraccoon ABC123
04/11/16 6:33 pm

He has no chance at the nom.

KangarooJack Texas
04/11/16 6:41 pm

Neither does Cruz

paganraccoon ABC123
04/11/16 6:44 pm

Kaisich mathematically can't win, Cruz can. Kaisich can't even win a contested convention because he hasn't won 8 states (rule 40). If Cruz wins California, he can probably push to a contested convention and win.

Khonjin Minnesota
04/11/16 8:48 am

It's the Donald

Reply
mikeyDe Marine Corps
04/11/16 7:24 am

Not enough religious crazys to prop Cruz up in NY, he will get shredded.

Reply
jab004
04/11/16 7:23 am

Trump will win, like Kasich won Ohio, and Cruz won Texas. In the end, Trump won't get to 1,237 because he doesn't have enough supporters to get the delegates. He's the choice of the vocal minority.

Reply
F1Dan Parked in your spot
04/11/16 7:42 am

You mean vocal plurality.

jab004
04/11/16 7:46 am

No I don't. I said what I meant. Was I wrong, did I miss something? He has less than 50% of the votes, isn't that a minority? You can slice it all you want, and focus on the least important aspects all day, he doesn't have the support, and it's because he's an ahole. He tapped into something real, and maybe could have gotten the support, but his ego got in the way. He's a babbling idiot, that knows how to exploit a situation. Still a dufus.

F1Dan Parked in your spot
04/11/16 8:08 am

Technically minority is a proper term to use, but it usually isn't used for the candidate who has the most overall votes. Plurality is a more descriptive and accurate term in the case of Trump.

jab004
04/11/16 8:09 am

You think this is a general election. It is a primary. lookitup.com

F1Dan Parked in your spot
04/11/16 8:12 am

The type of election doesn't change the definition of the word. A plurality is having the most votes but not over 50%. Where does it say it must be in a general election?

jab004
04/11/16 8:20 am

To argue that point is silly. A plurality matters in a two-person race. You were the semantically one. In a 16 person race, to have a plurality means nothing. My real point was very obvious. He isn't the choice for a majority of the GOP voters. You can't wordsmith that untrue.

bethanyq Ess Eff
04/11/16 5:08 pm

No one still in the race is the choice of the majority, so dismissing his supporters as a "minority" doesn't really make any point for you - that makes him no different from either of the other two candidates. Btw, in a two-person race, there's no such thing as a "plurality" (a write-in would make it a three-person race and an abstention doesn't count).

ShawPPM1214 Washington
04/11/16 7:13 am

Trump will win it. But he won't get all the delegates from the state.

Reply
chinito Florida
04/11/16 7:05 am

Whomever voted Ted Cruz in this poll is delusional.

Reply
MrWalrus Undergrid
04/11/16 8:42 am

I did initially and then realized that I read it wrong. :-/

Volt Florida
04/11/16 6:47 am

People keep acting like the “New York values” phrase was the creation of Ted Cruz himself. It was not. You missed the entire point of his using of the phrase.

Ted Cruz mentioned an interview back in 2002 or so where he defended his stances on gay marriage and abortion by saying people from New York (like himself) held different values than most people. So Ted went along with that and told people watching the GOP Debate just what Donald had said.

Now everyone is acting as if Ted insulted the whole state of New York when it was actually Donald who grouped the city of New York into one moral basket.

Reply
Volt Florida
04/11/16 6:48 am

Ted Cruz mentioned an interview where Donald Trump defended his own stances. It was not Ted Cruz in the interview. My apologies for any confusion.

Mattwall1
04/11/16 6:43 am

Forgetting any home state advantage Trump may be able to pull, Cruz's "New York values" comment won't help him

Reply
Kneske College Station, TX
04/11/16 7:26 am

Trump is spinning that comment by Cruz big time. It's absurd how easily the can fool voters.

Spiritof76 USA 1776
04/11/16 6:42 am

Not enough religious cornballs in NY to put Bible toting Ted over the top. Trump takes it in a landslide.

Reply
timeout Boston Strong
04/11/16 6:34 am

Trump should win this one easily.

Reply
MrMilkdud
04/11/16 6:32 am

New Yorkers aren't exactly Cruz' kind of people.

Reply
Luftwaffe South of Heaven
04/11/16 6:19 am

Hopefully Trump, although Cruz has cheated in other primaries.

Reply
gonzoboy Arizona
04/11/16 6:13 am

Not only does Trump take New York, he does it running away, and could even secure the total count of all 95 Delegates.

Reply
Zod Above Pugetropolis
04/11/16 6:09 am

Either Trump, or neither of them. The GOP may be able to justify giving it to someone else, but they couldn't justify giving it to someone who Trump has already beaten in more than just the polls, and who isn't much more well liked or acceptable to the general electorate. Trading the anyone but Trump voters for the anyone but Cruz voters would be a lateral move, at best.

Reply
Zod Above Pugetropolis
04/11/16 6:11 am

I was thinking of the convention. I think Trump gets NY easily.

BamaGirl ROLL TIDE from Arizona
04/11/16 5:46 am

I expect Trump to win NY.

Reply
BamaGirl ROLL TIDE from Arizona
04/11/16 12:32 pm

This one should be a cakewalk for Trump.

Brrrrrrrrr
04/11/16 5:31 am

Trump will wipe the floor so thoroughly with Cruz, if they had Cruz after 9/11 they could have cleared the rubble in 5 days.

Reply
MJSeals J.D.
04/11/16 5:10 am

This New Yorker voted for Ted Cruz

Reply
Yessy French Texan
04/11/16 5:13 am

Shame 😜

Yessy French Texan
04/11/16 5:14 am

This Texan vote for Trump 😜😛

MJSeals J.D.
04/11/16 5:17 am

Shame? Trump gave me Sen. Schumer, Sen. Hillary, gov. Cuomo and Gov. Spitzer and destroyed Jones Beach

Liberty 4,032,064
04/11/16 5:03 am

Trump in a landslide.

Reply
rons WOKE is sick
04/11/16 4:57 am

This question has to be a joke.

Reply
AmericanWolf For the Benefit of All
04/11/16 4:56 am

In New York, if one candidate gets at least 50% of the total vote, they win all the delegates. As long as Trump can be kept below half, we're good.

Reply
mikeyDe Marine Corps
04/11/16 7:27 am

No that's backwards, that's bad. Keeping them from him is bad. We want him to win. We want him to taken them all lol

cowboy Doors of Perception
04/11/16 4:55 am

The Liberal loud mouth, Trump.

Reply
johonmilla Monroe, nc
04/11/16 6:19 am

Please don't call him liberal, he's not

johonmilla Monroe, nc
04/11/16 10:58 am

Don't even know how he's liberal: antiabortion, anti obamacare, anti amnesty, no alternative energy, no taxing Wall Street, conservative economy method....

Sounds conservative to me

cowboy Doors of Perception
04/11/16 11:02 am

Anti-abortion? Since when?

evan2048 Michigan
04/11/16 12:28 pm

Even if he's had conservative beliefs for longer than a few years, his positions are likely to change literally within hours so taking him on his word is pretty ignorant.

I'd consider Trump conservative like I'd consider Hillary trustworthy. She says she is and some crazy people believe her though she has repeatedly proven that she is not

Gunfighter06 Iowa, since 1846
04/11/16 4:53 am

Trump. D-bag New Yorkers will vote for a fellow d-bag New Yorker.

Reply
MJSeals J.D.
04/11/16 5:11 am

🙁 I'm a d-bag New Yorker who didn't vote for the d-bag New Yorker

Yessy French Texan
04/11/16 5:16 am

Stop hating on New York , just because they are liberal doesn't give you the right to go on making insults! Last time I checked New York is part of the US so they are Americans !( They are basically our brothers and sisters)

Yessy French Texan
04/11/16 4:49 am

Lol people actually voted Cruz. I'm pretty sure he is third right now, first he has to beat Kasich !

Reply