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TerryQuinn October 24th, 2014 3:35am

One of my polls on Oct 3 mentioned a study that claimed that there was a 70% chance of another Ebola-infected person coming to the US by Oct 24. Today that person showed up in NY.

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10/25/14 10:01 pm

Seeing patients who have Ebola in big cities in the states isn't over. I just hope the New York City sewer rats don't get it. Then it would be a real pandemic. Ick rats thank god for cats

DonWichita Kansas
10/25/14 10:47 am

Cant lose. If one gets ill before Oct 24 the statement is correct. If no one gets ill by Oct 24th it goes to the 30% side which is also correct. If they get ill after the 24th it is still in the 30% side & the statement is again correct. Cant lose.

Zod Above Pugetropolis
10/25/14 5:58 am

It probably should have been 100%, given the number of our citizens involved in humanitarian and healthcare efforts in areas where it is prevalent. But the odds that it will spread here in the US are close to 0%.

10/24/14 9:41 pm

"70% chance" is statistics, not science.

TigerShark47 Missouri
10/24/14 7:40 pm

Thank you, statistics and the study of contagious diseases!

TerryQuinn Stardust
10/24/14 5:30 am

Predictable to say that we'd eventually have another case. Not so easy to predict the precise odds of that person showing up by a given date.

Torfin Never Behind
10/24/14 2:11 am

Fortunately he he secluded himself.

TerryQuinn Stardust
10/24/14 5:49 am

Yes, I think the odds are extremely low that he spread it. He didn't have symptoms when he was wandering NYC and he stayed home as soon as he felt tired.

Torfin Never Behind
10/24/14 8:52 am

Yea, I am just hearing about him going all over NY on the subway. So much for not spreading it.

2katz I live in Nebraska
10/23/14 10:50 pm

Neither science or luck. Just common sense that it's gonna happen.

TerryQuinn Stardust
10/24/14 5:27 am

Sure, it's a safe be to say that we'd eventually have another case at some point. Not so easy to know the place accurate odds of the next case occurin by a given date. Some people act like they we've been getting a 100 new cases a day.

EarlyBird Portland
10/23/14 8:54 pm

Very cool!!